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Thursday, March 12, 2015

Dollar-euro parity: What a one-to-one exchange means


As the euro's value sinks, the dollar-euro parity could affect your plans: whether you are investing in foreign markets or just planning a spring vacation in the south of France. 
The strong greenback against plunging euro prices means there could soon be a one-to-one exchange rate between the currencies. And the magical state of parity is a significant marker not only because it eliminates the cost of exchanging money—but also because it is a rare occurrence.
The last parity moment was in November 2002. Parity also occurred when the euro was introduced in 1999, and in 2000. So why now? The two currencies getting cozy signifies an ongoing trend in changing money supplies and disparate central bank policies between the United States and the European Union.
A clerk handles dollars and euros at a money exchange office in Paris.
Philippe Desmazes | AFP | Getty Images
A clerk handles dollars and euros at a money exchange office in Paris.

What causes currency prices to change?

Because the United States and euro zone have floating exchange rates, the price of money is set by the market, not a government: supply (from the central bank) and demand for the currency. 
Demand fluctuates based on factors including the expected inflation or deflation of the currency over time, the perception of a country as a stable place to hold valuable assets, the level of currency reserves needed for purchases, and interest rates.

Why the euro is shrinking

The euro is getting weaker because we know the supply will go up. The European Central Bank has started an aggressive economic stimulus in the form of quantitative easing—in which it is buying bonds off the public-private markets in exchange for cash. Those purchases will flood the market with euros. 
In fact, that's the goal. Like the United States did, the European Union hopes to keep money cheap and accessible to its residents to spur economic growth.
But by the law of supply and demand, when there is more to go around, each euro is worth less. A glut of euros is particularly important because currency is seen as a store of value. Like we count on investments to create a return, we count on cash to buy as much as it did yesterday, minus a tiny but predictable amount of inflation each year.
Because the euro is becoming less valuable and has less purchasing power abroad, it's not seen as a valuable way to hold assets, meaning that people may dump euro-denominated assets for an asset with more return.

What is causing the dollar to get stronger?

As a result, the dollar is being seen as a more stable alternative to the euro and has relatively more purchasing power abroad. Compounding the situation, while rates of return in Europe spiral downward, the Federal Reserve is planning to raise interest rates and reduce the money supply—meaning that dollar-denominated assets will become more valuable. 

What does this mean for businesses?

American businesses that operate in Europe could feel the strain of dollar-euro parity because it means that it is relatively more expensive to buy their products. It also means that when U.S. companies bring their earnings back across the Atlantic, they dilute their euro-denominated earnings, which are now worth less than they used to be. 
Even earlier in 2015, as the dollar strengthened and the euro weakened, multinational corporations like Procter & Gamble and Caterpillarblamed the strong dollar for disappointing earnings.

What does it mean for consumers?

While a rising dollar hurts U.S. businesses selling exports, it helps consumers looking for European imports.
If you're throwing around the idea of buying a villa in Tuscany, now's your chance. When the cost of exchanging money is eliminated, it will make any purchase in Europe relatively cheaper. Prices of goods can't readjust right away to keep up with foreign demand. Those Haribo bears are priced for the locals, which mean you can get a steal.

How long will it last?

No one knows for sure, but it's likely that the moment of parity—the golden one-to-one ratio—will be brief. The overall currency trend of a beefy dollar and weak euro, however, may be more long term. 

With Greece and Germany squabbling over the sluggish economy and a Fed decision to raise rates looming, the forces that are driving a wedge between the demand for euros and dollars may carry on for a while.

Saturday, March 7, 2015

André Rieu - And The Waltz Goes On

BlackBerry unveils Leap smartphone; continues shift to software

Leap_Grey_Front
BlackBerry had billed “a very strong device roadmap” in the buildup to its Mobile World Congress presence this year. What the company showed at its press conference this morning was a full touch screen smartphone, called Leap.
BlackBerry’s CEO John Chen also promised a curved-screen handset with a separate keyboard to come out “as soon as it’s done.” In addition, the company stressed the integration of its software into Samsung’s KNOX workspace.
The Leap smartphone comes with a five-inch 1280 x 720 touch screen and no keyboard and will cost $275. But the latest BlackBerry handset “will find it tough to compete with the iPhone and Android devices,” according to analyst house CCS Insight. However, the research company added that “the Leap will be essential to a more-rounded portfolio.”
In the meantime BlackBerry made it clear it remains heavily focused on developing cross-platform software services that Chen said will extend to “any end point” – i.e any IP address – “whether it is a vending machine or a rice cooker”. In addition to developing a software platform to address the internet of things market, BlackBerry is aiming its enterprise mobility software at the vertical sectors of healthcare, finance and government.
“We’re expanding into the software and services business and doing it quickly,” said Ketan Kamdar, global head of device portfolio, BlackBerry.
Hardware still accounts for the majority of BlackBerry’s revenues, according to Chen, who admits “it will take some time for hardware and software to be twin towers”.
In its effort to build up software revenues quickly BlackBerry is working with any operating system, whether it is Windows, Android or iOS. In particular, BlackBerry underscored its collaboration with Samsung to “create a highly integrated experience” for BlackBerry’s enterprise software on Samsung KNOX. The strategy of putting BlackBerry’s enterprise software and encrypted messaging functions onto Samsung phones could call into question the future of BlackBerry handsets. However, for now BlackBerry claims to be committed to continuing to develop handsets aimed at the enterprise market.
BlackBerry’s enterprise software services include secure access, and a split billing function that lets companies pay only for work-related voice, data and SMS usage. The company, which cites operators as its key channel, also showed collaboration tools, such as one-touch conference call dial that does away with the need to enter passwords.

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Wednesday, March 4, 2015

Google Data centers - Where the Internet lives

Google To Offer Wireless Data Plans In Hopes Of Getting More People Using All Of Their Products

(Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)
(Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)
MOUNTAIN VIEW (CBS/AP) – Search giant, self-driving car developer, smartphone and tablet maker. Turned data plan provider?
Google wants more people to get online so they can search around and click on its ads. And it’s shaking up the telecom world to do it. The company said Monday at the wireless show in Barcelona, Spain, that it will soon sell data plans for smartphones and tablets in the U.S. The announcement confirmed leaks and media reports in late January that Google planned to enter the telecom market.
More information will be released “in the coming months,” Sundar Pichai, Google Inc.’s senior vice president of products, said during his presentation.
The move into the wireless market mirrors what Google has been trying to do for hard-wired Internet access at home. The Mountain View company currently sells an ultra-fast fiber-optic Internet service in a handful of markets scattered across the U.S. in an attempt to pressure long-established broadband providers to improve their prices and cut their prices.
Google conceivably do something similar for wireless by offering discounted data plans that would pressure major carriers such as AT&T Inc. and Verizon Communications to offer better deals and services or risk losing customers to a powerful rival.
“Any time there is a new entrant with the resources and imagination of Google, it most definitely could shake up the market,” said Gartner analyst Bill Menezes.
Pichai downplayed the competitive threat that Google might pose.
“We don’t intend to be a network operator at scale,” he said. “Our goal here is to drive a set of innovations which we think the ecosystem should evolve and hopefully will get traction.”
Pichai compared Google’s latest move to its decision to launch its own line of Nexus smartphones, which he said Google uses not to compete with other smartphone makers, but to introduce innovations in mobile hardware.
Finding a way to provide a “seamless” Internet connection when a device moves from Wi-Fi to cellular coverage as one example of goals Google would like to target, Pichai said. He also noted that Google is also working on “Android Pay,” a mobile payment system similar to “Apple Pay,” that will work across all Android-powered devices.
Google plans to be a “mobile virtual network operator,” which means it will lease space on an existing system. Pichai didn’t name Google’s wireless partners, but previous media reports have identified Sprint Corp. and T-Mobile US Inc. Neither of those carriers has confirmed those plans yet.
Selling Google access to their wireless networks would help Sprint and T-Mobile recoup some of their extensive investments. If Google’s entry into the wireless market is successful, the company may even try to take over Sprint or T-Mobile, Menezes said. “This could end up being a ‘try it and then buy it’ strategy,” he said.
T-Mobile already has been lowering its prices and rolling out other wireless plans that have undercut the status quo. Some of those changes have prodded AT&T and Verizon to take steps that have helped their existing customers save money.
Google is constantly looking for ways to get more people online in an effort to drive more traffic to its Internet-leading search engine, Gmail and YouTube video site. All those services display the ads that generate most of Google’s revenue. Google also collects commissions on millions of ads distributed to other sites.
The company is using solar-powered drones and a fleet of high-altitude balloons to beam Internet service in some parts of the world.